JACKSONVILLE – Let’s get to it …
Where Jags Fans Aren't Pussies
JACKSONVILLE – Let’s get to it …
JACKSONVILLE – Let’s get to it …
JACKSONVILLE – Let’s get to it …
Hi John, I know this is a difficult question, but given your experience with the league – along with what you have seen so far – what do you think is Blake Bortles’ ceiling?
John: The question indeed is difficult because Bortles’ ceiling largely depends on his ability to fix his mechanics issues – and on his ability to improve his decision-making. He made real progress in the mechanics area between his rookie season and second season, and he seems to have regressed there this season. The odd part is the mechanics seemed OK during the offseason and early in preseason – and then they seemed to go away in a hurry. Can they be fixed? Considering his improvement from Year 1 to Year 2, you would think so. As far as his decision-making, that’s tougher – and in my opinion it has been the bigger concern this season. The area has been a real issue throughout his career – not all of the time, but at a lot of crucial times. Time and experience can be major factors in improving decision-making and ability to read/see the field. Some quarterbacks eventually get it. Some don’t. If Bortles improves these two areas, his ceiling is very high. He is gutsy, confident and a very good leader. He has shown he can make winning plays. He can lead a productive offense. If you can do those things, you can win in this league. If he doesn’t improve these things, then the ceiling is what you’re seeing now – and that ceiling clearly isn’t good enough.
At this point in the season what do you see as our biggest need – besides wins?
John: I’ll assume you’re not asking about quarterback because goodness knows we’ve discussed the position enough. Beyond that? Dominant run blocking. The offensive line has pass blocked well this season. It generally speaking has not run-blocked nearly as well.
Hi John, I know you dismissed the question today about Philip Rivers, but if Dallas does keep Dak Prescott and Tony Romo doesn’t want to remain a backup, what do you think in terms of draft picks, etc. it would take to get him? I realize that might not be the Jags’ line of thinking for the future, but could you humor me?
John: I would guess it would take a second- or third-round selection to trade for Romo. One issue is that the Cowboys theoretically could – out of respect for him – allow Romo to have input into where he wants to be traded, which would then get into the question of whether he wanted to go to the Jaguars or go to a team he perceived to be closer to contending.
Geez, let’s give BB5 a little break here. I know he’s struggling; you can see it in every game. But everyone on that side of the ball is struggling – dropped passes, no running game and poor play-calling. It’s on everyone— not just the quarterback.
John: You’re right. Quarterback is magnified because it typically has far more influence on the game than any other position, but there’s no question that Blake Bortles is far from the only part of the Jaguars struggling right now.
John, on the O & O show Tuesday night, you seemed inclined to agree with the thought that if the Jags are 2-12, why not put Brandon Allen in for the last two weeks to find out what we have in him and to see how the team responds to him as the quarterback? Is this the only scenario, outside of injury, you could see Allen getting a chance to start this season? Would 3-11 be reason enough to give him a chance?
John: I’ll clarify this: While I indeed said on 1010XL Tuesday that I agreed that putting Brandon Allen in in the final two weeks or so of the season might make sense, I did not mean to imply that I believed that would happen. First, I don’t believe the Jaguars will be 2-12 at that point – and I tend to believe that Bortles will play well enough in the next few weeks that this won’t be quite the hot-fire issue in a month that it is now. Either way, I’ll be surprised if it happens. I’m not sensing any leaning toward starting Brandon Allen at any point this season. We’ll see if that changes.
Will having losing records year after year have an impact on keeping key free agents such as Telvin, A-Rob and Linder?
John: It won’t help, but it’s hard to accurately predict that until after the season. Once players and agents know the direction a franchise is taking, it’s a lot easier to get an idea how negotiations may go.
Gus made a comment about the ideal passes Blake throws a game being less than 30. Could we see Nathaniel Hackett looking to run the ball more in unconventional situations, such as second- and third- and long? I don’t know how we could cut 20 passes off Blake’s total Sunday if we didn’t try that.
John: The more sought-after scenario is for the Jaguars to be in fewer second- and third-and-long situations. That would go a long way toward accomplishing the objective.
O-Man, earlier in the season when Bortles’ struggles began, I suggested to you that Bortles didn’t work hard enough in the offseason on his footwork/mechanics. You said you didn’t think that was the case. Now it has been reported that in the offseason before the 2015 season, Bortles spent six weeks training with the private quarterbacks coach. He made great strides of improvement in these areas in 2015. It was also reported that in the offseason before the 2016 season, Bortles spent less than a week, maybe two or three days with the private quarterback coach. In 2016 he has regressed big league. He has not taken his footwork/mechanics issues seriously enough. We still have seven games to go and see if he can right the ship, but clearly Bortles needs to dedicate himself to fixing these issues in the next offseason (maybe more than six weeks with quarterbacks coach) or he may not even have a future as a backup quarterback. He will have to do this the rest of his career as well to keep these issues at bay. What do you think about this now?
John: I think I’d be surprised if Bortles didn’t spend a lot of time this offseason working with his quarterbacks coach, Adam Dedeaux.
Being realistic, barring a miracle this is going to be another losing season and changes are coming. John, for those of us who have been through at least two unsuccessful rebuilds now, what is a realistic expectation after this season? Are we talking another four years, or are there enough pieces in place to make it quicker? Do we draft a quarterback or try and sign one to skip the line? Do you think Khan goes with an established winner at head coach if there is a change? We have put in a lot of time, and I am tired. I am curious what your thoughts are if you were to speculate.
John: I don’t yet know what the end of the season will bring, and I don’t know what Jaguars Owner Shad Khan’s thoughts will be at that point. I’ve never much cared about the “established-winner” thing as a head coach, because there’s no guarantee that past success will dictate future success – or that past struggles mean a coach won’t succeed. What do the Jaguars do at quarterback? You decide whether or not you believe Bortles is the guy. If you believe he is, you get to work on fixing the ongoing, well-chronicled issues. If you don’t, you get to work figuring out what’s available in the draft, free-agency or trade and get to work upgrading the spot as much as possible. As far as realistic expectations for the future? No, I don’t think we’re talking four more years until this team contends, and that’s true no matter what occurs at season’s end.
Blake did not spend as much time with Tom House this past offseason as he did the previous offseason. If he spends even MORE time this coming offseason working on his mechanics than he did in 2015, he could see a lot of improvement. That does not even account for the steady improvement that he could accomplish by continuing to put in as much time in all future offseasons. Pair his measured improvement with any significant upgrade to the running game and the pass rush, and we start to look WAYYYY better. I’m not saying I believe this will happen (I don’t), but there is a path to success with Bortles, and it’s not that far-fetched. One fer hope!
JACKSONVILLE – All right! New week!! Look-ahead Wednesday. All is right in the world.
Let’s get to it …
JACKSONVILLE – One more day to Look-Ahead Wednesday.
Let’s get to it …
JACKSONVILLE – Quick disclaimer:
The astute reader may find this morning’s answers lacking – yes, even more so than usual. And not for the first time in recent weeks, I don’t know how much new there is to say.
The Jaguars have lost four consecutive games – and Sunday’s loss to the Houston Texans at EverBank Field felt like it happened for much the same reason as last week’s loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in Kansas City.
It felt that way Sunday when I was answering questions for O-Zone Late Night and it still feels that way as I push through the inbox for the Monday O-Zone.
Quarterback Blake Bortles is struggling with accuracy. The special teams are struggling with coverage and ball security. The defense is playing well but not forcing turnovers. The offense isn’t playing well enough early to get a lead and it’s also committing turnovers.
The Jaguars are playing well enough overall to keep games close and lose games late – and in the NFL that’s pretty much the same thing as not playing well at all. That’s because keeping games close and losing is still losing. Losing still stinks and that’s where we are.
I’ll do the best I can to have something new to say. We’ll see how that goes.
Let’s get to it …
JACKSONVILLE – It’s game day – and game days are better than most other days.
Let’s get to it …
I disagree that the roster is functional; look at the record. I played a fun game in my mind to come up with players that were safe and building blocks: our three wide receivers, maybe Yeldon, maybe Linder because people say he’s good but honestly I don’t know enough about offensive line play and from what I see, we can’t run or pass – so I’m not sold. … Jackson, Fowler and Yannick (they young), Telvin, Jack (he young), Colvin and Ramsey (our soon-to-be-best player). Otherwise, everyone else is in play to be replaced due to age, injury or level of play and I would love to have some of what you and Jason are drinking.
John: It’s fine to disagree with me – and even with Jason, for that matter – and indeed everyone’s entitled to his or her own thoughts. And there’s no question the Jaguars aren’t winning enough right now. Still, just because an NFL team is struggling doesn’t mean all players on the roster are bad. As for your list, it contained by my count 12 players. All of them aren’t core players, but if we’re saying all are good, functional, building-block players … well, that’s actually a good start because most teams turn over multiple players each year. I would also suggest that Sheldon Day appears to be a player worth keeping, as are Tashaun Gipson, Prince Amukamara, A.J. Cann and very possibly Kelvin Beachum. Are there holes to be filled? Certainly. Is this an elite roster? No, but it’s not a bad one and it’s one with a lot of players who should still be improving. A major difference between this roster and many other rosters that are at .500 or better is that a lot of those rosters are getting consistent quarterback play. Consistent quarterback play can make that much of a difference, and the Jaguars simply have not gotten that enough this season. Because of that, it makes the entire roster look worse than otherwise would be the case. This is not a roster that needs a complete tear-down and rebuild. This is not a roster that is horrifically worse than any other in the NFL. This roster still needs a few impact players and some improvement, but I don’t see that road being overly long. We’ll see.
To my (very-untrained) eyes, Blake Bortles’ feet are the biggest reason for poor throws. Can’t speak to feet not pointing the right direction or anything technical like that. The wind-up certainly is contributing to late/batted balls, but the worst of his throws seem to me to be all arm. What do the Eyes of O see?
John: I don’t pretend to be well-versed enough in quarterback mechanics to give an accurate blow-by-blow breakdown of Bortles’ mechanics. I agree that Bortles’ footwork seems unstable, and that he doesn’t seem to throw from his legs all the time – but that’s usually the case for a lot of quarterbacks’ inaccuracies. When Bortles discusses his mechanics he most often talks about trying to tighten the motion and trying to get his feet and legs correct. Those are areas to watch.
Do you think Tony Romo could be an option for the Jags in the offseason?
John: This has been a topic in the O-Zone in recent days. First, I have no idea if the Jaguars will be in the market for a veteran quarterback in the offseason. I’ve heard nothing to indicate that that would be the case, but with eight games remaining a lot can change on many fronts for the Jaguars between now and the offseason. There’s also no guarantee Romo will be available.
I get the frustration with Blake. I do not understand people ready to give up on him. He has not flashed enough – I get that – but looking at the quarterback draft class … I can’t say any of them will be any better than Blake, so giving up on him does not make sense yet.
John: It’s not time to give up on Bortles. It is time for him to play more consistently. If he does, then a lot of this sort of talk will cease very quickly.
John, my questions are simple (in my mind). Winning coaches find what their team/players do best and incorporate a lot of that into their game plan. Why are we failing to accomplish this formula??? Is it because the team doesn’t know or hasn’t figured out what they do best??? Or is it because the team doesn’t do anything best and what we see is what we get???
John: I don’t know how simple the question is or isn’t, but yeah – a big part of coaching is to take what players do best and have them do it. That has been the frustration for the Jaguars on offense this season – is finding what this team does well and establishing that as an identity. Greg Olson in retrospect couldn’t find enough of it and Nathaniel Hackett seemed to find some more of it last week, particularly in the running game. I’ve said often in recent weeks that I think one of the most fascinating storylines for the rest of the Jaguars’ season is to find out what Hackett believes Bortles does best. If he can find a few things and start to build on it, you could see a dramatic difference in the Jaguars’ offense.
John, please make the Jaguars great again!
John: On it.
In the discussions about whether or not Ramsey should cover one player for the whole game, doesn’t it seem that a cornerback who studies that one player all week has a better chance of predicting their moves? As the game goes on, doesn’t the cornerback have a better measure of their burst speed and how they might attack at the line or fake to try to get open?
John: Sure, that sort of study should help. The question when deciding whether to have a cornerback cover a receiver one on one the whole game isn’t really one of preparation. Rather, it’s whether or not that player is capable of handling the assignment and whether or not the approach is best for your defense. Sometimes, it makes more sense to have both of your cornerbacks defend a side of the field. In other cases, teams prefer to double the opponent’s best wide receiver and have another corner take away the No. 2 wide receiver. As is often the case in the NFL, the approach often depends on the match-up.
Hi John. This question doesn’t have anything to do with the Jags’ situation this season; I just don’t know the answer and was hoping you could help. If a team wins all of its division games in a season but no other games and they finish 6-10 and another team in the same division wins no division games but goes 10-6, which team is declared the division champions and goes to the playoffs?
John: The team that goes 10-6 wins the division in your scenario. Division standings are based on overall records. The only time division records come into play is when there is a tie.
So, Jose makes you a billionaire and you make yourself 6-2. What does Mrs. O have to say of these changes?
John: She’s pretty fired up about the billionaire part. She even says she’ll visit me from time to time.
So no one (including myself) wants to talk about how if the Jaguars win Sunday they are still in the race for the AFC South. It’s understandable and downright ridiculous to even mention it. Considering how poorly the Jags have played, and how many times (countless) they have let us fans down, it’s a given that they will fail, especially when it matters most. But you know what? The offseason is WAYYYY too long and the regular season is WAYYYY too short (especially when it CONSTANTLY ends by Week 9), to just give up and already look forward to next September. The long, strenuous offseason will fill us all full of hope and expectations, only to be shattered again by mid-October. So what am I gonna do? I’m gonna hold onto the hope and say that IF THE JAGUARS WIN SUNDAY WE ARE STILL IN THE RACE FOR THE AFC SOUTH. Likely/unlikely/crazy/whatever, it’s a glimmer of hope that us fans can and should hold onto; it’s the very least we deserve.
JACKSONVILLE – Let’s get to it …
JACKSONVILLE – Let’s get to it …
JACKSONVILLE – Let’s get to it …
John, I never had expectations of a division championship or playoffs for this season, but I thought we would see a team that competed through the end of games, stressed the better teams and split those at or near the same talent level. Unfortunately, we are not seeing that outside of what I believe was the Baltimore game. Three blowouts, a now-overrated game against Green Bay and two wins against teams that are a mess. Not sure exactly my point, but that is symbolic of my feeling for our team. A loss of words to describe what we’re seeing.
Bill Parcells once made one of the most accurate statements ever: “You are what your record says you are.” The Jags are 2-6 this season and Gus Bradley is 14-42. BB5 has shown us who he is and I don’t think we are going to discover anything else about him by letting him continue to quarterback this team. My question to you: Do you see anyway that Gus Bradley and this coaching staff are retained for another year?
John: My answer to you: Sure, but they have to win a lot of games and they can’t lose a lot.
Hey O! You keep avoiding my question related to who this team will beat on the remaining schedule. I would really like to hear your thoughts on who this team will beat based on the fact that they can’t seem to beat anyone but themselves. I am all in and DTWD, but honestly: this is bad. Like, dumpster-fire bad. Go Jags. At some point in the future they may be able to win some games. Until then, I’ll be watching each week as the fire grows bigger and bigger.
John: Who can the Jaguars beat on their remaining schedule? This is actually quite simple. If they play to their potential, avoid turnovers and hit plays when they are there to be made, they can beat any team remaining on their schedule – and yes, I mean any team. The Jaguars haven’t done those things enough this season, and because I can’t predict when they will, I can’t really give a good answer to your question.
John: If we have such “advanced, modern and compelling television experience on game days” (your words), then why can’t the referees get a decent replay of a Chris Ivory fumble/touchdown? It seems like teams with better markets get better replays (more cameras). If replay is going to be used and is such a game-changing factor, why isn’t this standardized throughout the league?
John: Tim: (I know my words; I write them). Prime-time or nationally-televised games indeed have better replays because the networks send more cameras to the games. It has been this way since replay was implemented. Why? Because networks are free to determine the number of cameras they send to games – and because as of now, the league/teams haven’t been moved to incur the costs needed to change the system.
Can we stop comparing the mechanics of Bortles to Rivers, who is incidentally headed to the Hall of Fame? It’s one thing to have an odd delivery, but an entirely other thing to have that odd delivery prevent you from throwing a catchable, accurate pass.
John: I’ve never compared Bortles’ mechanics to those of Rivers. I have cited Rivers as an example of a quarterback with unorthodox mechanics – and I have done so as a way of demonstrating why unorthodox mechanics don’t automatically make you an undraftable quarterback.
O-man, our ‘long, rangy, physical press corners’ that Bradley covets don’t play press, which means the three defensive tackles on our starting line don’t have time to generate pressure. With your insight to the team, do you anticipate any adjustments being made by Wash to try and generate pressure? I know the offense has been terrible, but our defense hasn’t been lights-out either.
John: I don’t anticipate Jaguars defensive coordinator Todd Wash changing the defensive scheme. I do anticipate Wash will blitz when he feels blitzing will be an effective way to generate pressure. He did this a lot against Kansas City and it was effective against Nick Foles. It would be reasonable to think that it might be effective against a relatively inexperienced quarterback such as Brock Osweiler of the Texans.
Hi, John. Not my field of expertise as I am a recent follower of the NFL, but I have cast my eye over the remaining schedule for the Jags and our AFC South counterparts. If, and I know it’s a big if at the moment, we beat the Texans this weekend, then I predict we will win the AFC South. Is this possible or am I being exceptionally naïve, nay, foolish. COYJ (come on you Jags)
John: Sure, it’s possible. That’s because the AFC South is relatively bunched-up – and a Jaguars victory would make it even more bunchy. But this team has lost three consecutive games and has a minus-12 turnover ratio. It has found a way to lose games in a bunch of different ways. We also spent most of last season saying things like “if the Jaguars can win this game they can get back into a struggling AFC South …” Is that statement true this week? Sure, but it’s a hard thing to keep saying until they start winning.
Let’s pretend you are a billionaire and you own this team. Based on what I saw Sunday I really think this team is about to go on a run. What record for the last eight games would you need to see to keep Bradley?
John: Hold on … I’m still pretending I’m a billionaire – oh, and 6-2.
O-Man, is it reasonable to believe that the Jaguars will not exercise their fifth-year option on Blake Bortles unless his play improves in the final eight games this year?
John: Yes. That answer doesn’t imply that the Jaguars have decided whether or not to use the fifth-year option on Bortles. It is to imply that it’s reasonable to believe that his play over the final eight games will play a role in the decision.
SEASON LOST!!!!!!????? Are you kidding me? I mean, how can some people call themselves fans? Now, while this is not what anyone expected nor is it ideal, we see this type of play around the NFL every season from one team or another. My point: we have all seen teams win only eight or even seven games and still win their division. As a fan, we have to believe. We have to scream it from the rooftops!! DUVAL TILL WE DIE! – not till we lose, Our team feeds off this. We will win. We will be the franchise to be feared. So stand up and shout John stand up and SHOUT!!!!!!!!!
John: OK.
O, if three years in you’re trying to figure out if your quarterback is the guy … don’t you already know he’s not? Three years into Brady, Manning, Favre, Elway, Marino, etc. … their coaches and their fan bases weren’t asking questions if they were the guy.
John: You’re listing a pretty elite, Rushmore-type group there – and those quarterbacks indeed proved very early in their careers that they were elite. But there are other cases – Drew Brees and Eli Manning come to mind – of quarterbacks who appeared iffy two or so seasons into their careers. I’m not saying things don’t appear shaky right now with Bortles. That indeed is the case. But he’s done enough positive things to merit more opportunity.
I am still a Gus supporter, and I believe once it turns (and I think it will soon) it could be great for a long time. Really not looking to start over again. There are still some of us out here. Here’s one fer Gus, and hoping it turns around as it looked like it really started last week.